Jason's Chips

Jason's Chips

Optical Illusion: CPO is Dead, Long Live NPO

SemiAnalysis "CPO Delay" Selloff & NPO Mass Adoption Rumors

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Jason's Chips
Jun 10, 2026
∙ Paid

We have gotten a hilarious amount of discussion in a three-day span about CPO.

The takeaway from all of this news aggregated together is actually massively bullish and incremental positive to optics. NOT negative!! I’ll explain why.

All it takes is some very simple logical deduction.

Contents

  1. SemiAnalysis Note

  2. FundaAI Note

  3. What Is NPO and Why NPO

  4. Does NPO Use InP & ELS

  5. Lumentum at Mizuho

  6. Conclusion


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SemiAnalysis Note

The (very sad) title of their report was “Powered Down, Lights Off.”

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